Let’s consider a population of 1,000,000 infected individuals.
Based on published official figures:
45% will have no symptoms (550,000 remaining)
85% of the remainder recover with no special treatment (82,500 Remaining)
95% of those left requiring treatment recover (4125 Remaining)
90% of those deaths are due to underlying causes, not Covid (413 Covid deaths)
So a total of 413 out of 1,000,000 might die of covid-19. That is a 1 in 2400 chance.
And that is if you become infected, because around 20% of the population is already immune!
From this site:
https://www.nsc.org/work-safety/tools-resources/injury-facts/chart
We see the odds of dying by various causes (these are US statistics from 2018)
It is interesting to note that in the US, you have a 1 in 370 chance of being killed in a firearm assault, and a 1 in 7 chance of dying from heart disease or cancer.
Apart from firearm deaths, figures elsewhere in the world seem fairly similar.
So why are we in a panic over a disease that has a 1 in 2400 chance of getting us and will have largely burnt out in a few more months like every seasonal flu?
An interesting statistic from National geographic:
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/news/2005/6/flash-facts-about-lightning/
I find this a bit hard to believe, other sites put the odds at between 1 in 15,000 to 1 in 50,000 over a lifetime, but if true, we have a similar chance of being hit by lightning than dying of covid-19!
We really have entered the Twilight zone.
